FNUS75 KBYZ 031544
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELTY RX...NORTHERN CHEYENNE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
944 AM MDT THU MAY 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY WILL RULE OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE SITE IN THE AFTERNOON. A DISTURBANCE ALOFT
WILL PUSH A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH THE BURN SITE LATE THIS EVENING WITH
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. FRIDAY LOOKS A BIT MORE
UNSETTLED THAN TODAY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. BT


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR SPRINKLES
                    TOWARD EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY
                    SOME THUNDER IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................17 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......750 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS. WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...LEE OLD BEAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120503.KELTY.01/BYZ