FNUS71 KCTP 031949 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR WSG SGL 50...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 349 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON MAY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A WARM FRONT ALONG THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS WILL PUSH INTO EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING BRIGHTENING SKIES AND A VERY WARM AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...CONCENTRATED MAINLY OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL PRODUCE LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA ON FRIDAY...WHICH WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTH FRIDAY EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 4 PM SKY (%).............50 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE TEMP................80 RH..................51 20 FT WIND..........W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 MIX HGT (FT)........5900 TRANSPORT WIND......W 13 LAL.................3 HAINES INDEX........4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 0200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............47 20 13 16 32 68 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................79 74 71 69 68 66 RH..................53 54 59 62 64 67 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 MIX HGT (FT)........4800 2600 800 BLW100 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND......W 12 W 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 7 W 7 LAL.................3 2 2 2 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............80 79 31 25 54 74 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................63 66 69 72 75 77 RH..................74 70 62 55 48 43 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 6 SW 9 SW 13 SW 13 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........500 1600 4700 5700 4400 4100 TRANSPORT WIND......W 12 W 18 W 22 W 23 W 22 W 22 LAL.................3 2 2 2 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR REQUESTED BY...NEIL J ITLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120503.WSGSG.01/CTP