FNUS73 KDTX 031412
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FENTON TRAINING BURN...CITY OF FENTON FIRE DEPT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1012 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1830 EDT ON MAY 03.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALL DAY TODAY...BUT THE HIGHEST
POTENTIAL FOR THE FENTON AREA TO SEE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY
FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY...GUSTING BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER
WITH ERRATIC GUSTS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. THE AIRMASS WILL
ALSO BE HUMID...WITH HUMIDITIES ONLY FALLING BETWEEN 45 AND 50
PERCENT BY IGNITION TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 TO 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE
                    EARLY EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...
                    DECREASING TO 16 TO 22 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON..DECREASING TO 3800 FT
                    AGL AFTER 10 PM.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...1900).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0).


$$
FORECASTER...OROW
REQUESTED BY...LT JEFF SHOOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120503.FENTO.01/DTX