FNUS73 KFGF 031540
FWSFGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR JOE RIVER...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1040 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN HAS SET UP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
WITH COOLER AND MOIST AIR TO THE NORTH TRYING TO PUSH SOUTH...AS
CLEAR SKIES HOLD OVER MUCH OF WEST-CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE OVER
IOWA WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE JUST EAST OF THE RED RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST...ALLOWING WINDS TO TURN NORTH NORTH
AND NORTHWEST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE WILL BE THE AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH. WITH
BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING LOCALIZED WARMING COULD CAUSE DROPS
IN RH DURING THE AFTERNOON TO LEVELS BELOW THE CURRENT FORECAST.

BASED ON THE SATELLITE DATA THE AREA OF LOW CLOUDS IS VERY
EXTENSIVE AND EXTENDS WELL INTO CANADA...AND CONTINUES TO ADVECT
SOUTH AS WINDS IN THE LOWER FEW THOUSAND FEET ARE FROM THE NORTH.
FORECAST MODELS AND OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST AN OVERALL MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY.

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........74  70  68  68  68
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58  58  58  58  58
RH..............53  51  49  48  49
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........68     62     52     40     48     59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............56     53     51     48     45     43
RH..............50     55     63     71     76     82
20 FT WIND......N 10   N 8    NE 7   NE 7   E 7    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...EWENS
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN EERKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120503.JOERI.01/FGF