FNUS71 KRNK 031624
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR NO BUSINESS...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1224 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1135 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL LIFT NORTH FROM THE GULF COAST STATES
TODAY...AND TRIGGER WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND THE EVENING. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL TRAVEL ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............32     52     57
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
TEMP................75     77     78
RH..................60     53     50
20 FT WIND..........NW 3   N 2    SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5
CWR.................20     20     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............62     62     60     65     76     82
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................78     74     71     68     67     65
RH..................50     54     62     69     74     77
20 FT WIND..........S 4    SW 4   W 2    W 1    W 0    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5                    5
CWR.................30     30     30     40     30     30

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............85     86     67     61     58     58
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................63     65     69     72     74     75
RH..................82     76     68     63     56     53
20 FT WIND..........W 3    W 3    W 5    W 6    W 6    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      15     15     15     15
CWR.................40     30     30     40     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...SLEIGHTER
REQUESTED BY...DAVE BOSTIC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120503.NOBUS.02/RNK