FNUS76 KSTO 031322
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CALAVERAS DISTRICT PILES...STANISLAUS NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
622 AM PDT THU MAY 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM PASSES THE BURN AREA TODAY WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS
EVENING. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH OF ANY WETTING RAIN. A SECOND FRONT
PASSES THROUGH FRIDAY, BUT THE BURN AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS LATE MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
FRONTAL PASSAGE. TERRAIN SHOULD ENHANCE SOUTHWEST SLOPE/VALLEY
FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
    RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........53-56 AT IGNITION.
    60-63 AFTERNOON MAX.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH AT IGNITION. THEN
    SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS 10 TO
    12 MPH AROUND 1100.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH AT IGNITION. THEN SHIFTING
    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 18 MPH
    AROUND 1100.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
    PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
    BECOMING EAST 1 TO 3 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........WEST 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
    2 TO 3 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH
    AFTER 1100.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING WEST AFTER 1100
    WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


FORECASTER...JCLAPP
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CONES
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120503.CALAV.01/STO

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