FNUS73 KUNR 031713
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KYLE RX...PINE RIDGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1113 AM MDT THU MAY 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST AHEAD OF ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT NE-E THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING IN THE PROCESS TO
10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES EAST. OTHERWISE...EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES THROUGH MOST OF TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................21 PERCENT DECREASING TO 11 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 TO 3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 13
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...TAMARA RANDALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120503.KYLER.01/UNR