FNAK79 PAFG 041702
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR DTAE JARVIS CREEK  BAX...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
902 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION....SOUTH FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE SLOWLY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A WEAK THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE NORTH SIDE OF THE ALASKA RANGE TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL CAUSE ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS
OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300-9700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.
RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2500-4000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AFTER NOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-9000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HANCOCK
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120504.DTAEJ.01/AFG