FNUS75 KBYZ 041343
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER CREEK RX...USFS CNF ASHLAND R.D.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
743 AM MDT FRI MAY 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALSO
POSSIBLE...THOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
INTENSE. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT TODAY...WITH SOME ERRATIC
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE IF A STORM MOVES NEARBY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT
SHOWER CHANCES TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. THIS FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS...COOLER TEMPS AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TOMORROW. JKL

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 6-13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. ERRATIC WIND
                    GUSTS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EARLY EVENING BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
 RIDGETOP...........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EARLY EVENING BECOMING
                    EAST 5-15 MPH BY SUNSET...THEN SOUTHEAST 15-25
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........BECOMING NORTHWEST 20-30 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LESTER
REQUESTED BY...THEODORE FRAZER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120504.TIMBE.01/BYZ