FNUS72 KJAX 041035
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE FIRE...TYPE 3 TEAM, BENTLEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
635 AM EDT FRI MAY 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZES MERGE JUST EAST OF THE FIRE
SITE. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL WITH SPEEDS LESS THAN 15 MPH.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES AROUND THE FIRE SITE.

RAIN CHANCES WILL PROGRESSIVELY INCREASE THIS WEEKEND. STRONG
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4800-5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 20 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........67     53     51     49     49     49
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP............67     73     80     88     90     90
RH..............93     87     65     47     41     43
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 5    S 6    S 8    S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....500    1700   3000   4700   5200   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5    SW 5   N 5    W 5    SW 3   S 3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........48     48     44     44     44     45
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............87     80     74     71     68     66
RH..............46     58     71     79     86     95
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 3    SW 2   SW 2   W 2    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4400   3100   1900   1400   900    400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 3    SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   W 6    W 2
LAL.............2      2      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 62 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...JEFF DEMATTEIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120504.COUNT.01/JAX