FNUS72 KMLB 042115
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOVA ROAD   ROCKWOOD...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
515 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1633 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THROUGH SUNSET EXPECT AN INCREASE IN EAST-SOUTHEAST
WINDS AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES THROUGH THE BURN AREA.
WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS CLOSER TO CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTH TO NEAR CALM AFTER THE USUAL POST-
SUNSET DECREASE.

MAX RELATIVE HUMIDITY APPROACHING 100% TOWARD SUNRISE COUPLED WITH
LIGHTER WINDS COMPARED TO THURSDAY YIELDS A LVORI OF 9-10...WITH
SETTLING AND EXPANSION OF SMOKE AND FOG AROUND THE BURN AREA LIKELY
OVERNIGHT. SMOKE WILL SHOW A SLOW DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-
NORTHWEST.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH LATE THIS
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............9-10.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............81  78  76  74  73  73  72  71  70  69  68  68
RH..............54  60  64  68  72  77  79  82  84  86  89  91
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..12  11  8   7   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.15  14  11  10  8

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...LT  KEVIN N  VAUGHN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120504.NOVAR.01/MLB