FNAK79 PAFG 051601
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR DTAE JARVIS CREEK  BAX...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
801 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE SLOWLY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A WEAK THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED NORTH
OF THE ALASKA RANGE...AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL CAUSE ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS OVER THE
SOUTHEAST INTERIOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER NOON.
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING. SOUTH WINDS 6-12 MPH
                    AFTER NOON WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-12 MPH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH. LIGHT WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SE 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO
                    12 MPH AFTER NOON WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-8900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SE 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HANCOCK
REQUESTED BY...ANNE CONNOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120505.DTAEJ.01/AFG