FNUS72 KMLB 061703
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CINCO DE MAYO...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
103 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1222 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD AFTERNOON. HAVE BUMPED UP THE HIGH TEMPERATURE
EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE INTO THE LOWER 90S DUE TO THE OFFSHORE
FLOW. CORRESPONDINGLY...HAVE LOWERED MIN RH EXPECTED TO AROUND 40
PERCENT.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AVERAGE OUT OF THE WEST THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON...WITH SOME PERIODS OF SOUTHWEST WINDS AND EVEN
NORTHWEST. THERE IS NO INDICATION OF A SEA BREEZE DEVELOPING...
YET...ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER...WE EXPECT AN ONSHORE WIND TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VOLUSIA AND NORTH BREVARD
COUNTIES DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THE SEA BREEZE WILL
LIKELY REMAIN PINNED NEAR THE COAST WITH LITTLE PENETRATION
INLAND. AT THE BURN SITE...THERE SHOULD BE A PERIOD OF LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS AND
APPROACHES WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF EAST WINDS IF THE BOUNDARY CAN
PUSH PAST THE BURN SITE.

-KELLY

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-5900 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............88  89  90  90  89  88  85  83  81  79  76  74
RH..............48  46  42  42  44  48  53  58  65  74  79  81
20 FT WIND DIR..W   WSW W   WNW WNW VAR VAR VAR W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  9   9   8   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120506.CINCO.02/MLB