FNUS71 KBOX 070953 FWSBOX SPOT FORECAST FOR MASHPEE BARRENS...TOWN OF MASHPEE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 553 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY... LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS OUT OF THE SOUTH...UP TO 10 MPH. OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND A DRY FORECAST. RH VALUES WILL BEGIN TO DROP IN THE LATE MORNING AS DAYTIME HEATING BEGINS AND TEMPS INCREASE. OVERALL... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO PUSH OFFSHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON. VARIABLE WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE MOISTURE ESP ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. MIN RH VALUES WILL REACH MID TO LOW 30S NORTH OF THE MASS PIKE...WHILE SOUTH OF THE PIKE WILL ONLY DROP TO THE MID TO UPPER 40 PERCENTILE. LOW PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE TOWARDS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT SWEEPING A WARM FRONT THROUGH ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL INCREASE WINDS LATE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS UP TO 15-20 MPH. MIN RH VALUES WILL STAY RELATIVELY HIGH...RANGING FROM 50-75 PERCENT. EXPECT PRECIP TO MOVE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND LAST THOUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. OUTLOOK...MIDWEEK TO LATE WEEK... EXPECT A WET WED AND THURSDAY AS SEVERAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA. FIRST SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE NE AND DRAG A COLD FRONT OVER THE REGION WED INTO WED NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL STALL OUT WHILE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. EXPECT PRECIP TO END SOMETIME LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 600-2100 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-6600 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............7 2 3 4 5 4 3 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 57 58 58 58 58 58 57 RH..................66 59 55 55 53 53 51 53 20 FT WIND DIR......SW S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....2 0 1 1 2 5 7 9 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 ADI.................3 1 3 3 6 9 9 7 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 0 2 2 4 6 7 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (400-3400 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............6 9 12 24 36 48 56 64 72 80 87 95 WEATHER COV......... SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 54 53 51 50 49 49 49 49 48 48 48 RH..................55 61 64 68 68 71 74 74 77 83 83 86 20 FT WIND DIR......S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 7 8 8 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 ADI.................7 8 8 8 8 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT...THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT AROUND NOON...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1300-3200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH EARLY. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (600-32700 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO EXCELLENT (25000-61300 KNOT-FT) EARLY. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............97 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 49 50 51 53 55 56 58 59 59 59 58 RH..................86 83 80 77 71 66 64 57 55 57 60 62 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 10 11 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 12 14 16 17 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 LVORI...............5 4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................9 10 12 14 35 49 51 51 54 48 43 34 CWR.................20 20 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 40 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 1 16 33 55 58 58 61 49 38 25 $$ FORECASTER...DUNTEN REQUESTED BY...CHIEF GEORGE BAKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120507.MASHP.01/BOX