FNUS75 KFGZ 071451
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BEAVER CREEK...CNF COCONINO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
751 AM MST MON MAY 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO ARIZONA LATER
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...
AS WELL AS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LOW AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION BUT MAY
CONTAIN LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AN ISOLATED
                    HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN...
                    CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTS
                    UP TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (208700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......2087.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED EARLY
                    EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......17.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
                    STRONG OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 MPH AND GUSTY.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (150600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1506.

$$
FORECASTER...CLEMMONS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF THUMM
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120507.UPPER.01/FGZ