FNUS72 KJAX 070925
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
525 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0514 EDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT STALLS TO THE SOUTH AND UPPER TROUGHING LINGERS. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LESS
THAN 15 MPH...EXCEPT POSSIBLY STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 40.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........73     75     70     68     70     77
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR
TEMP............65     70     78     82     84     84
RH..............97     82     63     55     51     52
20 FT WIND......N 2    E 2    E 6    E 8    E 9    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1200   2600   3400   3900   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7   E 8    E 8    E 9    E 12   E 10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 5 OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........81     84     78     74     71     75
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............82     77     73     70     68     66
RH..............57     68     79     84     89     96
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 6    E 3    E 2    E 1    NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   2200   1400   1000   700    300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10   E 12   E 10   E 8    E 5    NE 1
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      8
LAL.............4      3      3      3      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 14 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120507.BALDW.02/JAX