FNUS72 KJAX 071904
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE FIRE...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
304 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1520 EDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK
AS A FRONT STALLS OVER THE AREA AND UPPER TROUGHING LINGERS. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL
BE 15 MPH OR LESS...EXCEPT POSSIBLY STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........68     71
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............86     84
RH..............52     59
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   3400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9    E 9
DISPERSION INDX.37     33
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70
LAL.............4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 0 TO
                    1 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........71     72     62     56     55     61
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE S CHC         S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............82     76     72     69     67     65
RH..............59     72     80     87     94     99
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 6    E 3    E 2    E 1    E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   1900   1300   800    400    100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9    E 9    E 10   E 7    E 1    E 0
LVORI...........1      3      4      6      7      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     60     40     20     10     20
LAL.............4      4      3      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    1 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 14 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...SGT  S W  COODY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120507.COUNT.03/JAX