FNUS72 KMLB 071207 FWSMLB SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTER FIRE...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 807 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0720 EDT ON MAY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER TOP OF THE WILDFIRE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE EARLY PERIOD WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...FORECAST MODELS SUGGEST SURFACE/20 FOOT WINDS BECOMING EAST OR NORTHEAST AT BETWEEN 5 AND 9 MPH. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AS DEEPER MOISTURE IS PUMPED INTO THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG AND HAVE HEAVY DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS. CELL MOVEMENT IS FORECAST TO BE RATHER SLOW AND OUT OF THE WEST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. THERE IS A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WITH DISPERSION INDICES IN THE POOR TO FAIR CATEGORY. SCATTERED SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN RATHER LIGHT...BUT VARIABLE. INITIAL SURFACE/20 FOOT EASTERLY WINDS WILL VEER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST IN THE EVENING AND THEN SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. THE UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES ON TUESDAY WITH RATHER LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS (AT TIMES) ONCE AGAIN AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS NEAR THE AREA AND ACTS AS A TRIGGER FOR PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING EAST OR NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH LATER IN THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....26. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............71 74 78 82 84 85 85 85 85 84 82 80 RH..............97 96 85 73 64 58 54 54 56 59 65 70 20 FT WIND DIR..VRB VRB VRB E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 7 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS IN THE EVENING...THEN SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING AND AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....6. LVORI...............6. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....31. $$ FORECASTER...SEDLOCK REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120507.CENTE.01/MLB