FNUS71 KAKQ 081301 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR OWEN MILLPOND...TNC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 901 AM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST TODAY...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER FOR THE BURN LOCATION ALONG WITH LIGHT SOUTH WINDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A GOOD BET FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 0.50 AND 1.00" ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR DRY WEATHER. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY (20-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............14 20 35 50 50 55 60 65 68 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................64 68 73 76 78 79 79 79 79 RH..................75 65 57 52 48 47 46 47 49 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 2.2 3.0 3.7 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.2 3.9 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....12 14 15 15 16 17 18 20 21 VRATE KT-FT/1000....16 28 37 49 61 75 76 76 75 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THROUGH EARLY MORNING... THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD DAYBREAK. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............75 80 82 90 90 90 95 95 95 97 97 97 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................78 77 75 72 69 67 66 65 64 64 64 64 RH..................52 54 58 64 70 75 78 84 87 87 90 90 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 8 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....22 23 23 23 22 21 20 17 16 15 14 14 VRATE KT-FT/1000....55 31 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............99 99 99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................64 65 66 67 69 72 74 75 77 77 78 77 RH..................90 90 87 87 81 76 69 66 62 60 56 58 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 40 80 80 80 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....8 10 10 10 12 12 12 15 15 12 10 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 15 12 9 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 4 4 15 25 36 41 46 48 43 34 28 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 FORECASTER...MCGEE REQUESTED BY...BOBBY CLONTZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120508.OWENM.01/AKQ