FNUS72 KJAX 081836
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE FIRE...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
236 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1450 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH THIS AFTERNOON
AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH A HIGHER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED.
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA THURSDAY...
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED WITH LOWER RAIN CHANCES.

RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE 15 MPH OR LESS...EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
LAL.................
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 34.
CHANCE OF PCPN......MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........M      M
WEATHER COV.....M      M
WEATHER TYPE....M      M
TEMP............M      M
RH..............M      M
20 FT WIND......M      M
20 FT WIND GUST.M      M
MIX HGT (FT)....5100   4600
TRANSPORT WIND..M      M
DISPERSION INDX.35     34
CHC OF PCPN (%).M      M
LAL.............M      M

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 1 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........79     72     66     61     57     56
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............86     79     72     67     65     64
RH..............53     70     85     95     99     100
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 2    SW 2   SW 2   SW 1   W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3400   2000   900    300    100    100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6   SW 3   SW 2   SW 2   SW 1   W 1
LVORI...........2      3      5      8      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     50     40     20     20     10
LAL.............3      3      3      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 49.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...SGT  S W  COODY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120508.COUNT.01/JAX