FNUS76 KMFR 080551
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORTAR COYOTE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1051 PM PDT MON MAY 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST
OF THE CASCADES TODAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WE EXPECT
SUNNY SKIES WITH LOW MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES. AS THE HIGH MOVES
EAST OF THE AREA EXPECT WINDS TO TURN MORE INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND
INCREASE A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. A SURGE OF MARINE AIR INTO THE COAST
TONIGHT WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OVER THE CASCADES, BUT IT WILL
BRING BETTER RECOVERIES TONIGHT AT LEAST COMPARED TO RECENT NIGHTS.
COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN WEDNESDAY AND AFTERNOON MIN RH WILL BE A
LITTLE HIGHER, BUT AT THE EXPENSE OF GUSTY WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................40-44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 14-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTH WIND 0-1 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    2-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 8000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 80-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WIND 2-3 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST, THEN CALM LATER AT NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY, BREEZY AND COOLER.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 23-27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING WEST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...LELAND HUNTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120508.MORTA.01/MFR