FNUS75 KTWC 081459
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAN CARLOS WUI...SAN CARLOS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
759 AM MST TUE MAY 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NOW OVER THE LOWER COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH TODAY THEN SWING EAST ACROSS SONORA
MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE
AREA...FIRST IN THE MID LEVELS TODAY WITH THE LOWER LEVELS REMAINING
FAIRLY DRY. THIS SETUP WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MAINLY
DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. AS ADDITIONAL
LOWER AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE MOVE IN FOR WEDNESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED WITH A DECREASED POTENTIAL FOR DRY
LIGHTNING. THEREAFTER...AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST...DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THURSDAY INTO THIS
WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86 TO 91 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........0 TO 5 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS LIKELY
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 58 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........44 TO 49 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING EAST
                    4 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    LIKELY NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 87 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 TO 19 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    LIKELY NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................3.
CHANCE OF RAIN......30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS LOGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120508.SANCA.01/TWC