FNUS75 KBOI 091429
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK RX...BOISE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
829 AM MDT WED MAY 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED TONIGHT...
...LIMITED PRECIPITATION WITH FRONT...


THE NEW SPOT LOCATION OF 44.16N AND 115.18W NOTED

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY AND MOVE INTO IDAHO THIS EVENING. THE FRONT
IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE BURN UNIT AROUND MIDNIGHT. THERE IS
ENOUGH INSTABILITY OVER THE AREA TODAY WHERE THERE NOW IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE DRY AND WARM TODAY. STRONG GUSTY
UPVALLEY WINDS EXPECTED COMBINING WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW MOVING OVER
THE REGION TODAY SHOULD BRING GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS TO THE BURN UNIT. MUCH
COOLER THURSDAY WITH STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. WARMING AGAIN THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 15 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....UPSLOPE/UP VALLEY 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH BY
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31 TO 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....WIND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER SUNSET WITH EARLY
                    EVENING GUSTS OVER THE RIDGES TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN CLEARING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS 10 TO 15 MPH
                    ACROSS THE HIGHER RIDGES.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...REDMAN
REQUESTED BY...REBECCA SWENSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120509.BEARC.01/BOI