FNUS72 KJAX 092205 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST BAKERS MILL...FFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 605 PM EDT WED MAY 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1729 EDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AROUND 7 PM PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS TO OVER 30 MPH OUT OF THE WEST NORTHWEST ...HEAVY RAIN...AND POSSIBLE HAIL. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING... AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT SOUTH BEHIND THIS FRONT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 7. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........85 90 83 70 53 48 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TEMP............87 80 75 70 66 64 RH..............51 58 66 75 82 85 20 FT WIND......W 7 W 10 W 3 W 3 NW 5 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 3100 2400 1600 1200 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 15 NW 13 NW 10 NW 12 NW 7 LVORI...........1 1 3 4 4 5 DISPERSION INDX.48 46 35 6 8 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 30 20 10 LAL.............4 4 3 2 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 53 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 42 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........42 37 30 23 17 18 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 63 72 79 82 84 RH..............85 80 55 40 34 32 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 N 7 N 8 N 8 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1300 3300 5000 5900 6200 TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 13 NE 12 N 9 N 7 NW 6 DISPERSION INDX.7 7 6 54 44 41 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...PETERSON REQUESTED BY...DONNA NICKODAM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120509.EASTB.01/JAX