FNUS72 KMFL 100201
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUBILATION...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1001 PM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2145 EDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW IS FORECAST TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN AREA THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. A COLD FRONT IN NORTHERN FLORIDA CONTINUES TO
MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA
BY THURSDAY MORNING, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS EVENING AND EARLY THURSDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE NIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM   7 AM
SKY (%).........32     32     36     36     36     45
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............78     75     73     71     70     72
RH..............76     84     87     90     97     100
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 5    W 5    W 3    W 2    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2300   700    700    500    300    1700
MIXNG WIND......W 12   W 8    W 8    W 6    W 3    W 6
DISPERSION IDX..8      4      4      3      2      23
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     40
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 51 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...LT BUENO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120509.JUBIL.04/MFL