FNUS72 KMLB 091201
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTER FIRE...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
801 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0705 EDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY
WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PINNED TO THE COAST IF
IT DEVELOPS AT ALL. LOCAL MESOSCALE MODEL DEVELOPS THE SEA BREEZE
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON BUT DOES NOT BRING IT ACROSS THE BURN
SITE. MAX TEMPS SHOULD APPROACH 90 WITH MIN RH VALUES DIPPING
BELOW 45 PERCENT AND GOOD DISPERSION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
SHOULD CHUG EASTWARD ACROSS THE PENINSULA DOMINATED BY A DIFFUSE
WEST COAST SEA BREEZE. AN INCREASE IN STORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CONVECTION INTERACTS
WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....PTY             SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....FOG             TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............68  71  74  78  81  83  85  87  89  89  87  85
RH..............100 97  87  69  65  59  55  50  47  45  50  55
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3   6   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.5       10  10      15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............6.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120509.CENTE.01/MLB