FNUS72 KMLB 091226
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SW PRATT WHITNEY...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
826 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0729 EDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY
WHICH WILL DELAY ONSET OF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE IF IT
DEVELOPS AT ALL. LOCAL MESOSCALE MODEL DEVELOPS THE SEA BREEZE
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON BUT KEEPS IT PINNED TO THE COAST AND
DOES NOT BRING IT ACROSS THE BURN SITE. MAX TEMPS SHOULD APPROACH
90 WITH MIN RH VALUES DIPPING BELOW 45 PERCENT AND GOOD
DISPERSION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD CHUG EASTWARD
ACROSS THE PENINSULA DOMINATED BY A DIFFUSE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE.
AN INCREASE IN STORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CONVECTION INTERACTS WITH THE EAST COAST AND
LAKE OKEECHOBEE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....PTY             SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....FOG             TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............70  70  75  79  82  85  87  89  89  88  87  84
RH..............100 94  79  69  63  55  52  48  45  48  53  57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   7   9   12  13  14  14  14  13  13  10
20 FT WIND GUST.5           10  15  15  20  20  20  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............6.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN DILLON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120509.SWPRA.01/MLB