FNUS75 KMSO 091600
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAFFIN  1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1000 AM MDT WED MAY 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA DURING THIS AFTERNOON.
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL DEVELOP BY THE MID
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING. NEARBY SHOWERS
MAY CREATE ERRATIC WIND GUSTS FOR A SHORT WHILE. DESPITE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...IT IS UNLIKELY
THE BURN WILL RECEIVE MORE THAN A FEW SPRINKLES. THERE IS A SLIGHTLY
HIGHER CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...HOWEVER CONTINUED LOW
CHANCE CWR RAIN AMOUNTS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH
                    BECOMING WEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...BITTERROOT DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120509.CHAFF.03/MSO