FNUS75 KRIW 091042 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST SLOPE RX...BLM WOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 442 AM MDT WED MAY 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS AGAIN TODAY. HUMIDITIES WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN YESTERDAY. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TOMORROW WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER 12PM. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY A COUPLE OF HOURS AFTERWARD. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS WARM...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER AS WELL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...LAVOIE .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78. MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD AFTER 12PM (32700-90000 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49. MAX HUMIDITY........40-43 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER 9PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AFTER 9PM (20100 KNOT-FT). .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66. MIN HUMIDITY........27-30 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH BY 3PM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO WEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD AFTER 12PM (27400-110000 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...LAVOIE REQUESTED BY...JACK MONONI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120509.WESTS.01/RIW