FNUS72 KMFL 101334
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-NW...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
934 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AS A COLD FRONT DRAWS CLOSER TO THE AREA, THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TODAY. A FEW SHOWERS
AND PERHAPS EVEN A THUNDERSTORM ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS 11 AM,
WITH A BETTER CHANCE DURING THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED, PERHAPS FALLING TO AROUND 50 PERCENT BY
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN WEST WITH SUSTAINED
SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FREQUENT LIGHTING AND GUSTY ERRATIC
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN ANY THUNDERSTORM. DISPERSION WILL BECOME
GENERALLY GOOD BY MIDDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........42     42     62     62     62     34
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............84     87     87     86     82     75
RH..............61     53     52     53     61     76
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 7    W 7    W 6    W 5    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.11     12     12     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   4500   4500   4000   4000   2200
MIXNG WIND......W 10   W 10   W 14   W 10   W 10   NW 6
DISPERSION IDX..54     54     54     50     50     2
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      1      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     40     50     50     50     10
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............10.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BETTWY
REQUESTED BY...JEFF ALTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120510.BCNW_.01/MFL