FNUS76 KMFR 101345
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST MCCLOUD TS UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
645 AM PDT THU MAY 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP WEST OF THE
BURN AREA TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN OFFSHORE FLOW THAT
WILL BRING A DRIER AIR MASS. THIS ALONG WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG TODAY COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY AND WILL START OUT FROM THE NORTH EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING NORTHEAST FROM LATE MORNING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN
THE AFTERNOON. RECOVERIES TONIGHT WILL NOT BE AS GREAT
COMPARED TO THIS MORNING.

DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE THAT A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE
TOWARDS THE BURN AREA MONDAY WHICH COULD BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF ISOLATED STORMS. HOWEVER IT'S STILL A WAYS OUT
AND THE DETAILS ON THIS ARE LIKELY TO CHANGE.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
20 FT. WINDS........NORTH 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NORTHEAST 4-7 WITH A FEW GUSTS TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 12 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING. EAST
                    2-4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
20 FT. WINDS........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...THEN INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SANDLER
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW WELDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120510.EASTM.01/MFR