FNUS73 KMPX 100108
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE JOE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
808 PM CDT WED MAY 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SHOULD BE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER ON THURSDAY AND BREEZY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES THAN WHAT HAS
BEEN SEEN THE LAST FEW DAYS. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT TREND FROM THE FORECAST ISSUED
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. JUST SLOWED THE TEMPERATURE CLIMB A BIT AND
INCREASED THE DEWPOINTS BY A COUPLE DEGREES. THIS BASICALLY JUST
INCREASED THE RH BY 5-10% FROM LOWER 40S TO NEAR 50 AROUND
IGNITION TIME. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF WIND FROM 8 AM TO 10 AM
THURSDAY...BUT SHOULD SEE A NOTICEABLE INCREASE FROM 10 AM TO
NOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3700-49700) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (64200-99300) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     67     73     76     75     71
RH..............56     50     43     40     43     49
20 FT WIND......S 11   S 12   S 14   S 15   S 14   S 11
20 FT WIND GUST.15     18     22     23     20     18
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 11
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (59700-85800) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (4200-32100) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 24 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (46500-76200) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (106300-139800) EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-7600 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 30 TO 39 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 41 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 23 TO
                    28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...CENTRAL MN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120510.LITTL.01/MPX