FNUS75 KMSO 101306
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLAZING 4   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
706 AM MDT THU MAY 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY WINDS OVERNIGHT HAVE CAUSED HUMIDITIES TO STAY
MUCH LOWER THAN FORECAST PREVIOUSLY AND TEMPERATURES TO STAY MUCH
WARMER. HAVE WARMED AND DRIED THE FORECAST FOR TODAY SIGNIFICANTLY
BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM THE NEARBY PARDEE RAWS. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY UNDER VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. SINCE THE
BURN SITE IS ON THE LOWER TWO THIRDS OF THE SLOPE AND A SOUTH AND
EAST FACING ASPECT...THE TERRAIN WILL PROVIDE SOME SHELTER FROM
THE FULL FORCE OF THE WINDS. WINDS HAVE BEEN REDUCED FROM THEIR
FULL POTENTIAL IN THE FORECAST TO REFLECT THIS. EXPECT STRONGER
WINDS AT RIDGETOP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 AT IGNITION. 68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MINIMUM 15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

$$
FORECASTER...LEACH
REQUESTED BY...LORIE COTTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120510.BLAZI.02/MSO