FNUS73 KDTX 110800
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR STRONG ESTRAL BEACH...SHIAWASSE NWR USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
400 AM EDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 11.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY EXTENDING INTO SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TODAY
WILL MAKE FOR A DIFFICULT WIND DIRECTION FORECAST...AS WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT. MOST LIKELY WIND DIRECTION THROUGH MOST OF THE
DAY WILL BE SOUTHWEST...BUT LAKE ERIE BREEZE MAY KICK IN RIGHT NEAR
THE SHORELINE AS LAND TEMPS HEAD TOWARD 70 DEGREES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...600).

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........14  18  15  13  10  9   7   6   11  16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  64  66  67  67  68  68  68  67  65
RH..............54  43  39  36  36  35  35  36  38  41
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 7.3 7.6 7.0 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.9 6.9
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...300 500 500 300 300 400 500 600 600 500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0).

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........21     23     28     35     35     42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     58     55     54     53     53
RH..............46     55     67     76     81     80
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      S      S      SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6      6      6      7      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST.10            10     10     10     10
VRATE (KT-FT)...400    200    100    0      0      100

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS BY MID AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...FREITAG
REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120511.STRON.01/DTX