FNUS75 KGJT 121350
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHY MOUNTAIN...GRAND JUNCTION DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
750 AM MDT SAT MAY 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2100 MDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. SO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE CAUSED
MAINLY BY OROGRAPHIC LIFT THAT WILL DIE WITH SUNSET. THE WINDS ALOFT
WILL BE FROM THE WEST TURNING TO NORTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT. ON SUNDAY A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WORK IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST FOR AN INCREASED CHANCE OF AFTERNOON STORMS AND
SHOWERS. THE WINDS ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO NORTH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
THEN TO NORTHEAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (195500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300 THEN 2.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 8500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY 2-6 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE AROUND
                    1100. AFTER 1400 NORTH WINDS 5-15 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY
                    1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK KEIRAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120511.BRUSH.01/GJT