FNUS73 KGRR 111206
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MOONLIGHT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
806 AM EDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE REGION WILL EXPERIENCE A WARM AND DAY TODAY WITH
FULL SUNSHINE. HOWEVER A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE LATE
TONIGHT BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE SHOWERS
SHOULD LAST INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-96.
THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK SHOULD SEE A RETURN TO DRY AND MILD
WEATHER.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 21
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5600-6100 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3600-4100 FT AGL TOWARD EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 800-1200
                    (EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........0      6      12     28     43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     70     72     71     68
RH..............31     26     25     28     33
20 FT WIND......S 12   SW 15  SW 17  S 17   S 15
20 FT GUST......15     20     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX....5      6      6      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0-200
                    (POOR TO FAIR) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH NOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 13 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH... RISING TO 6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO
                    700-900 (EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120511.MOONL.01/GRR