FNUS72 KMFL 111642
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-WEST FIRE...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1242 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1250 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND
WESTERN ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST
FLOW PREVAILING. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN TO THE WEST ALONG THE GULF
COAST SEA BREEZE. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE AT A THUNDERSTORM
AS WELL. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 45-50 PERCENT...WITH MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES IN
THE GENERALLY GOOD RANGE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...AND PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     40     40     20
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............87     90     90     86     80     74
RH..............57     49     48     55     65     60
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 7    E 7    E 6    E 5    NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   5000   5000   3000   1900   1900
MIXNG WIND......E 7    E 7    E 8    E 8    E 9    E 9
DISPERSION IDX..40     40     40     29     6      6
LVORI...........1      1      3      3      3      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 42 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO
                    3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27 INCREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 71 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 55 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...LT BUENO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120511.BCWES.02/MFL