FNUS72 KMFL 111832
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR RACOON POINT BURN...BIG CYPRESS NATL. PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
232 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1435 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND
WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST
FLOW PREVAILING. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...AND
THERE WERE A FEW SHOWERS ABOUT 10 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE BURN
SITE MOVING GENERALLY TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. THESE SHOWERS
HAVE PUSHED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE BURN SITE...AND WINDS
MAY BECOME VARIABLE WITH GUSTS UP TO 15-20 MPH OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED
TO BE 45-50 PERCENT...WITH MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES IN THE
GENERALLY GOOD RANGE. A LIGHT EAST NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...AND PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 20 MPH. LIGHTER EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED
ON SUNDAY...BUT THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........40     40     40     40     20     20
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............90     89     88     82     76     73
RH..............49     48     53     71     81     90
20 FT WIND......SE 4   E 6    E 6    E 5    E 5    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   5000   3500   2100   2100   600
MIXNG WIND......NE 8   E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9    E 8
DISPERSION IDX..48     48     31     7      7      3
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 INCREASING TO 53 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120511.RACOO.01/MFL