FNUS76 KMFR 111118
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER WILLY...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
418 AM PDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 PDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE THERMAL
TROUGH ALONG THE COAST SHIFTS INLAND. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN A
SHIFT TO MORE SLOPE WIND INFLUENCE DURING THE AFTERNOON...AT TIMES.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES WARMER TODAY OVER YESTERDAY AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP OFF INTO THE 20S. ON SATURDAY
SOUTH FLOW IS EXPECTED EARLY...TURNING UP VALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON. IT
WILL BE VERY WARM AND DRY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-26 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST 0-2
                    MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-10,000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST 5 MPH
                    UP TO 4000 FT AGL AND THEN SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    ABOVE 4000 FT AGL.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH, THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS
                    BY LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 0-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 0-5 MPH.


.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 0-2 MPH
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE MORNING, THEN INCREASING
                    TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH
                    LATE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JON LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120511.DEERW.01/MFR