FNUS72 KILM 121917 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR CARVERS BAY...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 317 PM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1507 EDT ON MAY 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST THROUGH TOMORROW. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SUNDAY. SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT.LOW PRESSURE FROM THE GULF COAST STATES WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE CHANCES FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN APPEAR HIGHEST LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ALL WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-6500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX ADI.............49. MAX LVORI...........6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42780-77510 MPH-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (0-19090 MPH-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............38 39 40 43 46 58 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................76 71 68 66 64 60 RH..................44 56 65 71 74 86 20 FT WIND..........SE 6 SE 5 SE 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 5 SE 4 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........6500 4700 1500 BLW100 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 10 SE 9 S 3 S 0 S 0 S 0 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 6 ADI.................49 6 2 1 1 1 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...69 43 5 0 0 0 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6100-6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............48. MAX LVORI...........6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-52554 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (63594-91885 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............67 75 76 78 80 86 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC TEMP................61 63 70 75 77 77 RH..................88 84 69 61 58 60 20 FT WIND..........SE 3 E 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 2 E 2 SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........BLW100 300 3700 6100 6400 6700 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 0 S 7 S 10 SE 10 SE 13 LVORI...............6 6 3 1 1 1 ADI.................1 1 18 35 34 44 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 0 25 64 65 86 $$ FORECASTER...CAROPOLO REQUESTED BY...DOUG MILLS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120512.CARVE.01/ILM