FNUS76 KMFR 120347
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COOL 10...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
847 PM PDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE THERMAL TROUGH LOCATED ALONG THE COAST
WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT
IN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
ACROSS THE UPPER SLOPES. THE THERMAL TROUGH SHIFTS WEST OF
THE BURN AREA TONIGHT WITH INCREASING OFFSHORE FLOW LEADING
TO POOR RECOVERIES AT NIGHT.

SIMILAR WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE AIRMASS WILL
START TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE ABOVE THE SURFACE AS AN UPPER
LOW MOVES TOWARDS NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING IN INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE. AT THIS POINT WERE
NOT EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN SOME BUILDING CUMULUS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.

ON MONDAY...LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE ON THE TRACK OF THIS
LOW. THUS INCREASING THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. MORE ON THIS
AS DETAILS BECOME MORE CLEAR IN COMING DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH EARLY MORNING...THEN UPSLOPE
                    2-4 MPH LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH EARLY...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
                    0-2 MPH LATE EVENING THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH EARLY MORNING...BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...MONICA RAMIREZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120512.COOL1.01/MFR