FNUS76 KMFR 120518
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAWBERRY...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1018 PM PDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE THERMAL TROUGH LOCATED ALONG THE COAST
WILL MOVE INLAND TODAY...BUT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE WEST OF
THE BURN AREA. DESPITE THIS...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE
WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO FRIDAY WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.
LIGHT DOWNSLOPING WINDS ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS
MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.

SIMILAR WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY. EXCEPT THE THERMAL TROUGH
SHOULD BE POSITIONED FARTHER WEST FROM THE BURN AREA LEADING TO
SOUTH WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
TOWARDS NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT INDICATIONS
ARE THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH OF A CAP TO PREVENT MUCH IF ANY
CLOUD BUILDUPS.

MONDAY COULD BE A DIFFERENT STORY...LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE ON THE
TRACK OF THIS LOW. THUS INCREASING THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. MORE
ON THIS AS DETAILS BECOME MORE CLEAR IN COMING DAYS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH UNTIL MID MORNING...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 1-3 WITH A FEW GUST TO 5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH EARLY...THEN DOWNSLOPE
                    0-2 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH EARLY DECREASING TO 0-3 MPH
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING....BECOMING
                    SOUTH 2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...MELISSA ZAROSINSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120512.STRAW.01/MFR