FNUS73 KAPX 132026 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR CLEAR LAKE FIRE...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 426 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1609 EDT ON MAY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH MONDAY...GENERATING WARM AND EXTREMELY DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS INTO THIS EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT OR HIGHER AFTER 800 PM. FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED MONDAY...WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WHILE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. SOUTHWEST WINDS MONDAY MORNING...WILL TURN WEST MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME GUSTY. THEREFORE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR NORTHEAST LOWER ON MONDAY. SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........72 AT REQUEST...MAX 73. RH..................17 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 13 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND AT 3 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE WINDS TURNING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5MPH AROUND 6 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300) AT REQUEST. MAX...GOOD (300). MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 7900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH. TIME (EDT) 5PM SKY (%).........1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............70 RH..............17 20 FT WIND DIR..W 20 FT WIND SPD..3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 HAINES INDEX....6 SMOKE DISP......300 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........1 1 3 3 2 2 3 7 9 8 7 6 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 68 68 63 58 53 48 46 42 41 40 39 RH..............17 15 17 22 34 44 54 60 68 76 79 82 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800). MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........7 11 11 11 11 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 41 60 72 72 74 RH..............82 61 32 23 19 18 20 FT WIND......W 1 W 2 W 4 W 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 10 15 10 SMOKE DISP......0 0 300 600 700 800 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120513.CLEAR.01/APX