FNUS73 KAPX 132306 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 706 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1840 EDT ON MAY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN WILL LEAD TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND QUIET WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT WINDS HAVE RESULTED IN A DEFINED LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE HURON...THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE WILDFIRE AREA BETWEEN 730 PM AND 8 PM. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT FROM THE CURRENT WEST/SOUTHWEST DIRECTION TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL GO CALM BY 10 PM. RH VALUES STILL RUNNING BELOW 30 PERCENT FOR ALL AREAS. BUT EVENING COOLING WILL RESULT IN RH VALUES GOING ABOVE 50 PERCENT BY MIDNIGHT AND ULTIMATELY RECOVERING TO OVER 90 PERCENT BY MORNING. ANOTHER DRY DAY FOR MONDAY...WITH WARMER TEMPS AND STRONGER WINDS. RED FLAG CRITERIA MAY BE REACHED MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING IN SOME SPOTS...HENCE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........73 AT REQUEST...MIN 35. RH..................17 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT REQUEST...TURNING EAST TO SOUTHEAST BY 8 PM...THEN CALM BY 10 PM. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........1 1 3 7 12 16 18 19 21 21 22 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 70 68 65 59 53 47 45 42 41 40 39 RH..............15 17 18 21 30 41 56 62 73 79 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SE SE S S S S S SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........24 26 16 11 11 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 41 59 72 74 76 RH..............92 79 37 23 19 18 20 FT WIND......SW 1 W 3 W 5 W 6 W 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 10 15 15 SMOKE DISP......0 0 300 600 700 800 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120513.COUNT.01/APX