FNUS72 KMFL 132002
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKBURN...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
402 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1556 EDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP OVER INLAND AREAS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING AND THEN MOVE WEST AFFECTING THE BURN
SITE THIS EVENING. SURFACE WINDS MAY START FROM THE SOUTH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THEN SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY FROM THE EAST AT 5 TO 7 MPH
DECREASING GRADUALLY THROUGH THE EVENING AND BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER, ISOLATED PATCHES OF MAINLY
GROUND FOG COULD DEVELOP TOWARD EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....38 DECREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............90     89     83     75     70     69
RH..............44     50     60     81     87     97
20 FT WIND......S 6    E 5    NE 5   NE 3   E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   4500   4500   500    300    300
MIXNG WIND......W 13   NW 9   NE 9   NE 6   NE 3   E 3
DISPERSION IDX..38     28     28     4      2      2
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      6      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     30     30     30
LAL.............3      3      3      3      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 0
                    TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 25 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GARCIA
REQUESTED BY...LT BUENO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120513.BLACK.01/MFL