FNUS76 KMFR 130402
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCK OATMAN RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
902 PM PDT SAT MAY 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL START OUT WEST OF THE
BURN AREA THIS MORNING...THEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST AND
WILL BE CLOSE TO THE BURN AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
RESULT IN CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES WARMER
COMPARED TO SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFFSHORE WILL
MOVE TOWARDS THE CALIFORNIA COAST THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER
THE MAIN EFFECT SHOULD ONLY BE A FEW BUILDING CUMULUS
CLOUDS. AT THIS POINT IT'S NOT LOOKING UNSTABLE ENOUGH
FOR ANY ISOLATED STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN WILL BE VERY LOW THIS AFTERNOON.

HOWEVER THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED
STORMS COULD INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A HIGHER
CHANCE OF ISOLATED STORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON. KEEP IN MIND THE
DETAILS ON THIS COULD CHANGE AND THIS SERVES AS A HEADS UP
FOR THE POTENTIAL THREAT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING. A FEW BUILDING CLOUDS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-11 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 0-2 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT THE DIRECTION COULD BE
                    ERRATIC AND GUSTY IF ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOP AND
                    NEAR OR OVER THE BURN AREA.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...ERIC HAHN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120513.BUCKO.01/MFR