FNUS75 KBOU 142052 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEWLETT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 252 PM MDT MON MAY 14 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE AND A WEAK SURFACE GRADIENT SHOULD ALLOW SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS TO DOMINATE THE PATTERN THROUGH TUESDAY. THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER HUMIDITY TOMORROW. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY MAY SEND OUT GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TOWARD THE FIRE. A BETTER CHANCE FOR WET THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1600...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-10000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1500. FAIR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 0-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 13800-14800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEWLETT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/14-14 2 0 0 73 11 S 6 9 3 1 N16 10576 N10 95082 G 05/14-15 2 0 0 74 12 S 5 10 3 1 N16 10330 N10 90062 G 05/14-16 2 0 0 73 14 SE 5 7 3 1 N17 9340 N 9 72824 G 05/14-17 2 0 0 71 16 SE 5 5 4 1 N17 8351 N 7 55586 F 05/14-18 2 0 0 68 17 E 6 6 4 1 N18 7361 N 6 38348 P 05/14-19 2 0 0 66 18 SE 6 6 4 1 N18 5009 NW 6 25933 P 05/14-20 2 0 0 61 20 S 5 5 4 1 NW18 2658 SW 5 13519 P 05/14-21 2 0 0 57 24 S 3 3 4 1 NW18 306 S 5 1105 P 05/14-22 2 0 0 54 28 SW 3 3 4 1 NW18 267 SW 5 964 P 05/14-23 2 0 0 51 32 SW 3 3 4 1 N18 228 SW 5 823 P 05/15-00 2 0 0 49 35 W 5 5 4 1 N18 189 W 5 682 P 05/15-01 2 0 0 47 36 W 6 6 4 1 N18 175 W 5 678 P 05/15-02 2 0 0 47 36 NW 6 6 4 1 N20 161 W 5 675 P 05/15-03 2 0 0 46 36 NW 7 7 4 1 N20 148 W 6 671 P 05/15-04 2 0 0 46 36 NW 7 7 4 1 N20 137 W 5 615 P 05/15-05 2 0 0 46 38 NW 7 7 4 1 N20 126 W 5 560 P 05/15-06 1 0 0 45 40 NW 7 7 4 1 N20 116 NW 5 505 P 05/15-07 1 0 0 48 38 NW 5 5 4 1 N18 1241 N 3 2098 P 05/15-08 1 0 0 57 30 N 3 3 3 1 N16 2366 NE 2 3691 P 05/15-09 1 0 0 63 24 NE 2 2 3 1 N14 3491 E 2 5285 P 05/15-10 1 0 0 69 20 E 3 3 3 1 N10 7405 CALM 9137 P 05/15-11 1 0 0 73 17 E 6 6 3 1 N 8 11320 CALM 12989 P 05/15-12 10 2 0 78 14 SE 8 13 3 1 N 6 15235 CALM 16841 P 05/15-13 10 2 0 78 14 SE 9 15 3 1 NW 7 15133 W 2 29894 P 05/15-14 10 2 0 79 14 SE10 17 4 1 W 8 15032 SW 3 42946 F 05/15-15 10 2 0 79 14 SE12 18 4 1 W10 14930 SW 5 55999 F 05/15-16 10 2 0 78 14 SE12 18 4 1 W12 14198 SW 6 68978 G 05/15-17 10 2 0 78 15 SE12 17 4 1 W12 13466 SW 7 81956 G 05/15-18 21 3 1 75 16 SE10 16 4 1 W13 11721 S 9 88327 G 05/15-19 21 3 1 73 17 SE10 16 4 1 SW13 8268 S12 65547 G 05/15-20 21 3 1 68 20 SE10 16 4 1 SW13 4816 S14 42767 F 05/15-21 21 3 1 63 24 SE 9 15 4 1 SW13 1364 S17 19987 P 05/15-22 21 3 1 60 28 SE 8 13 4 1 SW12 982 S14 13908 P 05/15-23 21 3 1 58 32 SE 7 7 3 1 SW12 600 S12 7829 P 05/16-00 28 1 0 56 35 SE 6 6 3 1 SW12 218 S 9 1751 P 05/16-01 28 1 0 54 38 S 5 5 3 1 W12 204 S 7 1364 P 05/16-02 28 1 0 52 40 W 3 3 4 1 W13 189 SW 6 978 P 05/16-03 28 1 0 50 41 W 3 3 4 1 W14 175 SW 3 591 P 05/16-04 28 1 0 50 41 W 3 3 4 1 W15 158 SW 5 614 P 05/16-05 28 1 0 49 41 W 5 5 4 1 W16 141 W 6 637 P 05/16-06 44 5 1 49 41 W 6 6 4 1 W17 124 W 6 660 P 05/16-07 44 5 1 52 40 W 6 6 4 1 W18 391 W 7 2757 P 05/16-08 44 5 1 56 37 W 7 7 4 1 W20 658 W 8 4854 P 05/16-09 44 5 1 61 32 W 7 7 4 1 W20 925 W 9 6951 P 05/16-10 44 5 1 66 27 SW 7 7 4 1 W18 3845 W 9 34724 P 05/16-11 44 5 1 69 23 SW 7 7 4 1 W16 6764 W10 62498 G 05/16-12 61 16 3 72 20 S 8 13 4 3 W15 9684 W10 90271 G 05/16-13 61 16 3 73 19 SW12 17 4 3 W16 10715 W13 116391 V 05/16-14 61 16 3 74 19 SW15 23 3 3 W16 11747 W14 142510 V 05/16-15 61 16 3 75 19 W16 25 3 3 W17 12778 W15 168630 E 05/16-16 61 16 3 76 18 W14 22 3 3 W17 12239 W14 152464 E 05/16-17 61 16 3 75 19 W10 16 3 3 W18 11699 W14 136297 V 05/16-18 56 16 3 74 20 W 7 7 3 3 W18 11159 W13 120131 V 05/16-19 56 16 3 71 22 W 6 6 3 3 W20 7608 W10 80985 G 05/16-20 56 16 3 67 25 W 6 6 3 3 W21 4056 W 8 41839 F 05/16-21 56 10 2 64 29 W 6 6 3 2 W20 504 W 6 2693 P 05/16-22 56 10 2 61 32 W 6 6 3 2 W16 397 W 7 2278 P 05/16-23 56 10 2 59 34 W 7 7 3 2 W13 290 W 8 1863 P 05/17-00 28 4 1 57 37 W 7 7 3 1 SW12 184 W 9 1449 P 05/17-01 28 4 1 55 39 W 7 7 3 1 W16 173 W 9 1423 P 05/17-02 28 4 1 54 41 W 7 7 3 1 W23 163 W10 1397 P 05/17-03 28 4 1 53 42 W 8 13 3 1 W28 152 W10 1371 P 05/17-04 28 4 1 52 42 W10 16 3 1 W29 156 W13 1745 P 05/17-05 28 4 1 52 42 W13 20 3 1 W28 159 W15 2120 P 05/17-06 28 4 1 52 42 W14 22 3 1 W25 163 W17 2495 P 05/17-07 28 4 1 54 39 W14 23 3 1 NW22 2047 W20 39070 P 05/17-08 28 4 1 59 33 W14 23 3 1 NW17 3930 NW21 75646 G 05/17-09 28 4 1 63 28 W14 22 3 1 NW14 5814 NW22 112221 V 05/17-10 28 4 1 68 24 W14 22 3 1 NW15 8273 NW21 146287 V 05/17-11 28 4 1 71 21 NW14 22 3 1 NW17 10732 NW20 180353 E 05/17-12 35 5 1 74 20 NW13 21 3 1 NW20 13190 NW18 214419 E 05/17-13 35 5 1 76 19 NW12 18 3 1 NW21 13703 NW18 217031 E 05/17-14 35 5 1 77 19 NW 9 16 3 1 W21 14215 W17 219644 E 05/17-15 35 5 1 77 18 NW 8 13 3 1 W21 14727 W17 222256 E 05/17-16 35 5 1 78 18 W 6 6 3 1 W20 14089 W16 193953 E 05/17-17 35 5 1 77 19 SW 5 5 3 1 W18 13451 W14 165650 E 05/17-18 37 6 1 75 20 SW 3 3 3 1 W16 12813 W13 137347 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ANNE REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120514.HEWLE.01/BOU