FNUS75 KBOU 150135 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEWLETT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 723 PM MDT MON MAY 14 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL BE TRICKY THIS EVENING AS WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE ARE NW AT 10-15 MPH AT THE RED FEATHER RAWS SITE...MEANWHILE TO THE SOUTH OF THE FIRE WINDS ARE LIGHT ESE AT 5-10 MPH. OVERNIGHT WINDS MAY BECOME MORE WSW IN THE 5-8 MPH RANGE BY 05Z AND STAY THAT WAY THRU 12Z. ON TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE THE WINDS WILL BECOME SE AT 6-12 MPH WITH A A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS AFTER 1500 WHICH MAY PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 40 MPH. OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY AND WARMER. A BETTER CHANCE FOR WET THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 5-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 0-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 13800-14800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEWLETT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/14-19 3 0 0 64 17 SE 5 5 4 1 N18 5110 NW 6 25997 P 05/14-20 3 0 0 61 20 S 3 3 4 1 NW20 2710 SW 5 13598 P 05/14-21 3 0 0 56 25 S 3 3 4 1 NW20 309 S 5 1199 P 05/14-22 3 0 0 52 29 SW 3 3 4 1 NW20 269 SW 5 1039 P 05/14-23 3 0 0 50 33 SW 3 3 4 1 NW20 229 SW 5 880 P 05/15-00 3 0 0 47 36 W 5 5 4 1 N20 189 W 5 720 P 05/15-01 3 0 0 46 38 W 6 6 4 1 N20 174 W 5 704 P 05/15-02 3 0 0 45 38 W 6 6 4 1 N20 159 W 5 688 P 05/15-03 3 0 0 45 37 W 7 7 4 1 N20 144 W 6 672 P 05/15-04 3 0 0 45 37 W 7 7 4 1 N20 133 W 6 622 P 05/15-05 3 0 0 44 38 W 7 7 4 1 N20 123 NW 6 572 P 05/15-06 1 0 0 44 40 W 7 7 4 1 N20 112 NW 6 523 P 05/15-07 1 0 0 46 39 NW 6 6 4 1 N17 1193 N 5 2489 P 05/15-08 1 0 0 54 30 NE 5 5 4 1 N16 2273 NE 3 4456 P 05/15-09 1 0 0 61 24 NE 3 3 4 1 N13 3353 E 2 6422 P 05/15-10 1 0 0 67 20 E 5 5 4 1 N10 7273 E 2 9069 P 05/15-11 1 0 0 71 17 E 6 6 4 1 N 7 11192 CALM 11716 P 05/15-12 10 3 1 76 14 SE 8 13 4 1 N 6 15112 CALM 14364 P 05/15-13 10 3 1 76 15 SE 9 15 4 1 NW 7 15055 W 2 28493 P 05/15-14 10 3 1 77 14 SE10 17 4 1 W 9 14999 SW 3 42623 F 05/15-15 10 3 1 77 14 SE12 18 4 1 W12 14943 SW 5 56752 F 05/15-16 10 3 1 76 14 SE12 20 4 1 W13 14176 SW 6 69322 G 05/15-17 10 3 1 76 14 SE12 20 4 1 W14 13410 S 7 81892 G 05/15-18 21 4 1 73 16 SE12 18 4 1 W14 11742 S 9 88504 G 05/15-19 21 4 1 71 18 SE10 17 4 1 W13 8245 S12 65043 G 05/15-20 21 4 1 66 21 SE10 16 4 1 SW13 4748 S14 41583 F 05/15-21 21 4 1 62 25 SE 9 15 4 1 SW13 1251 S16 18123 P 05/15-22 21 4 1 59 29 SE 8 8 4 1 SW12 906 S14 12649 P 05/15-23 21 4 1 57 32 SE 6 6 3 1 SW12 561 S12 7174 P 05/16-00 28 1 0 54 36 SE 5 5 3 1 W12 216 S 9 1700 P 05/16-01 28 1 0 53 38 S 3 3 3 1 W13 202 S 7 1336 P 05/16-02 28 1 0 51 41 W 3 3 4 1 W14 189 SW 6 971 P 05/16-03 28 1 0 49 42 W 3 3 4 1 W15 175 SW 3 606 P 05/16-04 28 1 0 49 42 W 3 3 4 1 W16 158 SW 5 626 P 05/16-05 28 1 0 48 41 W 5 5 4 1 W17 141 W 6 646 P 05/16-06 44 6 1 48 41 W 6 6 4 1 W18 124 W 6 666 P 05/16-07 44 6 1 51 39 W 6 6 4 1 W20 448 W 7 3339 P 05/16-08 44 6 1 55 36 W 7 7 5 1 W21 772 W 8 6012 P 05/16-09 44 6 1 60 32 W 7 7 5 1 W21 1096 W 9 8685 P 05/16-10 44 6 1 64 27 SW 7 7 5 1 W18 4348 W10 42467 F 05/16-11 44 6 1 67 23 SW 7 7 5 1 W17 7600 W10 76249 G 05/16-12 61 17 3 70 20 S 8 13 5 3 W16 10852 W12 110031 V 05/16-13 61 17 3 72 19 SW12 17 4 3 W16 11499 W13 130095 V 05/16-14 61 17 3 72 19 SW15 23 4 3 W16 12145 W14 150160 E 05/16-15 61 17 3 73 19 W16 25 3 3 W17 12792 W15 170224 E 05/16-16 61 17 3 74 19 W14 22 3 3 W18 12223 W15 155243 E 05/16-17 61 17 3 73 19 W10 16 3 3 W21 11654 W14 140263 V 05/16-18 57 17 3 72 20 W 7 7 3 3 W22 11084 W13 125283 V 05/16-19 57 17 3 70 22 W 6 6 3 3 W22 7554 W10 84406 G 05/16-20 57 17 3 66 25 W 6 6 3 3 W23 4024 W 8 43529 F 05/16-21 57 10 2 62 29 W 6 6 3 2 W22 494 W 6 2653 P 05/16-22 57 10 2 59 32 W 6 6 3 2 W18 389 W 7 2240 P 05/16-23 57 10 2 57 35 W 6 6 3 2 W14 285 W 8 1827 P 05/17-00 29 4 1 55 37 W 7 7 3 1 SW13 180 W 9 1414 P 05/17-01 29 4 1 54 39 W 7 7 3 1 W17 170 W 9 1395 P 05/17-02 29 4 1 52 41 W 8 13 3 1 W24 160 W10 1376 P 05/17-03 29 4 1 51 43 W 9 15 3 1 W29 149 W10 1358 P 05/17-04 29 4 1 51 43 W10 17 3 1 W30 153 W13 1729 P 05/17-05 29 4 1 50 43 W13 20 3 1 W29 157 W15 2100 P 05/17-06 28 5 1 50 42 W14 22 3 1 W25 161 W17 2471 P 05/17-07 28 5 1 52 39 W14 23 3 1 NW21 2011 W20 38152 P 05/17-08 28 5 1 57 33 W14 23 3 1 NW15 3861 NW21 73834 G 05/17-09 28 5 1 62 28 W14 22 3 1 NW13 5711 NW22 109516 V 05/17-10 28 5 1 66 24 W14 22 3 1 NW13 8200 NW21 144586 V 05/17-11 28 5 1 70 21 NW14 22 3 1 NW16 10690 NW20 179657 E 05/17-12 35 7 1 73 19 NW13 21 3 1 NW18 13180 NW18 214728 E 05/17-13 35 7 1 74 18 NW12 18 3 1 NW21 13710 NW18 217536 E 05/17-14 35 7 1 75 18 NW 9 15 3 1 W21 14239 W18 220344 E 05/17-15 35 7 1 76 18 NW 8 13 3 1 W21 14768 W17 223152 E 05/17-16 35 7 1 76 18 W 7 7 3 1 W21 14128 W16 194916 E 05/17-17 35 7 1 76 18 SW 6 6 3 1 W18 13488 W14 166680 E 05/17-18 37 8 2 74 20 SW 5 5 3 1 W16 12848 W13 138444 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120514.HEWLE.02/BOU