FNUS74 KEPZ 141346
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ROCKY...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
746 AM MDT MON MAY 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0726 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH A STRONG DISTURBANCE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH
THE BURN AREA OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS WHICH WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE
BUT COULD HAVE SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. BY LATE AFTERNOON...THE
DISTURBANCE WILL BE THROUGH THE AREA AND SKIES WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR WITH
A DROP IN DEW POINTS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME. NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY
WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST FOR TUESDAY...BUT NOT BE VERY STRONG.
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FLUCTUATE MUCH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THERE WILL
BE GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATE PART OF THE
WEEK...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE AREA ALLOWING DRY
CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE 1500.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000-10700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........VERY GOOD.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400-10100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13100-13200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........VERY GOOD.


$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120514.ROCKY.01/EPZ