FNUS72 KJAX 141050 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 650 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0645 EDT ON MAY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST REGION THROUGH THURSDAY WHICH WILL BRING INCREASED RAIN CHANCES TO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. THE BEST CHANCES OF RAINFALL WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE SEA BREEZES DEVELOP. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS BELOW 15 MPH...EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 47. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........70 71 72 76 77 72 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............65 72 80 83 85 84 RH..............100 97 73 60 54 56 20 FT WIND......S 3 SW 5 S 8 S 9 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....100 1100 2400 3200 3600 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 2 S 6 S 12 S 12 S 13 S 14 DISPERSION INDX.2 9 35 44 46 48 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 40 50 50 LAL.............1 1 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....47 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........69 63 64 61 53 58 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 77 73 71 69 67 RH..............59 68 79 85 90 94 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 7 S 5 SW 2 SW 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2200 1400 1000 700 400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 13 SW 14 SW 12 SW 7 SW 2 LVORI...........1 3 4 4 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 30 20 20 20 LAL.............3 3 3 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 46. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SHULER REQUESTED BY...PAT DEREN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120514.BALDW.01/JAX